Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Jun 24, 2022 at 12am UK

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi) (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
Palmeiras

(2-2 on aggregate)

Patrick (31')
Reinaldo (60'), Reinaldo (61'), Neves (72'), Neves (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cerqueira (48'), Cerqueira (49'), Gomez (60'), Gomez (61'), Rocha (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Palmeiras
Tuesday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Bragantino	13	3	18
8	Sao Paulo	13	3	18
9	Fluminense	13	1	18

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-2 Palmeiras
Tuesday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	13	17	28
2	Corinthians	13	7	25
3	Atletico Mineiro	13	5	21

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-0 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Palmeiras
34.49% ( -2.83)	29.11% ( -0.27)	36.4% ( 3.1)

Both teams to score 44.54% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78% (

0.99)

62.22% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1% (

0.72)

81.9% (

-0.71)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1% (

-1.34)

33.89% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43% (

-1.48)

70.57% (

1.48)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.37% (

2.61)

32.63% (

-2.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.83% (

2.82)

69.17% (

-2.82)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 34.48%

Palmeiras 36.4%

Draw 29.1%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.91) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.75) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.37) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.48%	1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.5) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.7) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.42) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.4%