Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 21, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Palmeiras

Sao Paulo
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Patrick (17')
Vinicius (39'), Reinaldo (45+2'), Neves (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gomez (90+1'), Cerqueira (90+6')
Danilo (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
37.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.08% (0.09 0.09)33.85% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 44.55% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.82% (-0.312 -0.31)62.18% (0.314 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13% (-0.228 -0.23)81.87% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (-0.179 -0.18)32.19% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (-0.204 -0.2)68.67% (0.205 0.2)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (-0.205 -0.2)34.31% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.22 -0.22)71.01% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 37.06%
    Palmeiras 33.85%
    Draw 29.08%
Sao PauloDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.06%
1-1 @ 13.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.85%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras

Sao Paulo
10.3%
Draw
27.9%
Palmeiras
61.8%
68
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2021 11.30pm
Palmeiras
0-2
Sao Paulo

de Paula (42')
Sara (24'), Luciano (61')
Bueno (57'), Eder (82')
Aug 18, 2021 1.30am
Palmeiras
3-0
Sao Paulo
Veiga (10'), Dudu (67'), De Paula (78')

Arboleda (41'), Alves (71')
Bueno (82')
Aug 11, 2021 1.30am
Jul 31, 2021 11pm
Sao Paulo
0-0
Palmeiras

Sara (63'), Nestor (79'), (90+4')
(90+5')

Lopes (77'), Melo (78'), Danilo (81')
Feb 20, 2021 12.30am
Sao Paulo
1-1
Palmeiras
Luciano (74' pen.)
Tche (78'), Alves (85')
Rony (90+3')
Gomez (63')