MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 08:43:06| >> :60:3002:3002:
Bahia
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 22, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Athletico Paranaense

Bahia
1 - 2
Athletico PR

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Bahia and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Bahia
Friday, December 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 0-1 Athletico Paranaense

Bahia will use this match as a measuring stick for what they might be up against next season, should they remain in a position to earn a promotion. On the opposite side, expect it to be all business for Furacao, who will be hungry to finish what they could not do last season and lift this trophy for a second time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
48.89% (-0.598 -0.6) 26.64% (0.215 0.22) 24.47% (0.38 0.38)
Both teams to score 46.59% (-0.231 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69% (-0.486 -0.49)57.31% (0.484 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.388 -0.39)78.14% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.48 -0.48)23.51% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.699 -0.7)57.55% (0.697 0.7)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (0.078000000000003 0.08)39.08% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.89%
    Athletico Paranaense 24.47%
    Draw 26.63%
BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 48.89%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.176 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.092 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 24.47%

How you voted: Bahia vs Athletico PR

Bahia
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Athletico Paranaense
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Athletico PR
0-2
Bahia

Nikao (77')
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
Bahia
2-1
Athletico PR
De Lucca (17'), Rossi (70')
Anderson (26'), da Cruz (90+1')
Terans (40')
Erick (82')
Richard (13'), Marcinho (87')
Jan 20, 2021 9pm
Sep 26, 2020 11pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Bahia
Christian (70')
Erick (26'), Moreira (53'), Heleno (57'), Alvarado Hoyos (89')

Saldanha (40')
Oct 5, 2019 11pm
Bahia
1-2
Athletico PR
Fernandao (76')
(0')
Cirino (56'), Cittadini (64')
rhs 2.0
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