Bahia
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 22, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Athletico Paranaense

Bahia
1 - 2
Athletico PR

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Bahia and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

Last Six:
    Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Bahia
    Friday, December 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

    Athletico Paranaense

    Last Six:
    Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Athletico PR
    Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.47%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

    Result
    BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
    48.89% (-0.598 -0.6)26.64% (0.215 0.22)24.47% (0.38 0.38)
    Both teams to score 46.59% (-0.231 -0.23)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    42.69% (-0.486 -0.49)57.31% (0.484 0.48)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    21.86% (-0.388 -0.39)78.14% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
    Bahia Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76.49% (-0.48 -0.48)23.51% (0.478 0.48)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    42.45% (-0.699 -0.7)57.55% (0.697 0.7)
    Athletico Paranaense Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    60.92% (0.078000000000003 0.08)39.08% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    24.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
    Score Analysis
        Bahia 48.89%
        Athletico Paranaense 24.47%
        Draw 26.63%
    BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
    1-0 @ 13.3% (0.06 0.06)
    2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
    2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
    3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.112 -0.11)
    3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
    3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
    4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
    4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
    Other @ 2.59%
    Total : 48.89%
    		1-1 @ 12.49% (0.08 0.08)
    0-0 @ 9.19% (0.169 0.17)
    2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.7%
    Total : 26.63%
    		0-1 @ 8.63% (0.176 0.18)
    1-2 @ 5.87% (0.051 0.05)
    0-2 @ 4.06% (0.092 0.09)
    1-3 @ 1.84% (0.02 0.02)
    2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
    Other @ 1.47%
    Total : 24.47%

    How you voted: Bahia vs Athletico PR

    Bahia
    20.0%
    Draw
    20.0%
    Athletico Paranaense
    60.0%
    5
    Head to Head
    Oct 9, 2021 11pm
    Athletico PR
    0-2
    Bahia

    Nikao (77')
    Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
    Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
    Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
    Bahia
    2-1
    Athletico PR
    De Lucca (17'), Rossi (70')
    Anderson (26'), da Cruz (90+1')
    Terans (40')
    Erick (82')
    Richard (13'), Marcinho (87')
    Jan 20, 2021 9pm
    Bahia
    1-0
    Athletico PR
    Andrade (65')
    Ramon (9'), Pablo Ramirez (79')
    Sep 26, 2020 11pm
    Athletico PR
    1-0
    Bahia
    Christian (70')
    Erick (26'), Moreira (53'), Heleno (57'), Alvarado Hoyos (89')

    Saldanha (40')
    Oct 5, 2019 11pm
    Bahia
    1-2
    Athletico PR
    Fernandao (76')
    (0')
    Cirino (56'), Cittadini (64')
    rhs 2.0


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