Copa Sudamericana
May 19, 2022 11.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Alex Vigo 31' yellowcard
  • Yohan Cumana 41' goal
  • Tomas Pozzo 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Benegas 47' goal
  • Andres Roa 83' goal
  • Leandro Benegas 85' yellowcard
  • Leandro Benegas 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jon Aramburu 11'
  • yellowcard Arles Flores 85'
  • yellowcard Edson Rivas 86'
  • yellowcard Carlos Olses 87'

Independiente vs Deportivo La Guaira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 4, 2022 1.30am
General Caballero JLM 0 - 4 Independiente

Deportivo La Guaira

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 4, 2022 1.30am
Ceara 3 - 0 Deportivo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 52.98% (-0.20)
Draw 26.47% (+0.08)
Deportivo La Guaira 20.54% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.77% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.99% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 60.01% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 19.75% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 80.25% (+0.09)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 77.16% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 22.84% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 43.43% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 56.57% (+0.20)

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5 55.43% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 44.56% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 19.42% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.58% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Independiente 52.98%
Draw 26.46%
Deportivo La Guaira 20.54%
Independiente
1-0 @ 15.03% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 11.09% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 52.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.18% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.62% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.46%
Deportivo La Guaira
0-1 @ 8.23% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.33% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 20.54%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
  • Francisco La Mantia 23' yellowcard
  • Yackson Rivas 66' yellowcard
  • Arles Flores 75' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Barreto 18'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Asis 27'
  • goal Messias 70'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 88'
  • goal Leandro Fernandez 90'+1'