Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 19, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente
4 - 0
Deportivo

Cumana (41' og.), Benegas (47', 90'), Roa (83')
Vigo (31'), Pozzo (43'), Benegas (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aramburu (11'), Flores (85'), Rivas (86'), Olses (87')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Deportivo La Guaira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo La Guaira

Last Six:

Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
52.98% ( -0.2)	26.47% ( 0.07)	20.54% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 42.77% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.99% (

-0.11)

60.01% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.75% (

-0.09)

80.25% (

0.08)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

-0.13)

22.84% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

-0.2)

56.57% (

0.19)

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.43% (

0.07)

44.56% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.42% (

0.06)

80.58% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Independiente 52.98%

Deportivo La Guaira 20.54%

Draw 26.46%

Independiente	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 15.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 52.98%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.54%