Ceara
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
3 - 0
Deportivo

Mendoza (59'), Vinicius (66'), Erick (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mikel Aramburu Mejias (82'), Aramburu (82')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ceara and Deportivo La Guaira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Goias vs. Ceara
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Deportivo La Guaira

Last Six:
    Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
    Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 18.65%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

    Result
    CearaDrawDeportivo La Guaira
    55.49%25.86%18.65%
    Both teams to score 41.72%
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    40.06%59.94%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    19.81%80.19%
    Ceara Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    78.25%21.75%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    45.08%54.92%
    Deportivo La Guaira Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    53.31%46.69%
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    17.75%82.25%
    Score Analysis
        Ceara 55.49%
        Deportivo La Guaira 18.65%
        Draw 25.84%
    CearaDrawDeportivo La Guaira
    1-0 @ 15.49%
    2-0 @ 11.81%
    2-1 @ 9%
    3-0 @ 6.01%
    3-1 @ 4.58%
    4-0 @ 2.29%
    4-1 @ 1.75%
    3-2 @ 1.74%
    Other @ 2.81%
    Total : 55.49%
    		1-1 @ 11.79%
    0-0 @ 10.15%
    2-2 @ 3.43%
    Other @ 0.48%
    Total : 25.84%
    		0-1 @ 7.73%
    1-2 @ 4.49%
    0-2 @ 2.95%
    1-3 @ 1.14%
    Other @ 2.34%
    Total : 18.65%

    Head to Head
    Apr 12, 2022 11.15pm
    Deportivo
    0-2
    Ceara

    Cumana (63'), Flores (73')
    Vinicius (6'), Lima (9')
    Richard (62')
    rhs 2.0


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