CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 2Palmeiras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 28.69% | 26.59% | 44.72% |
| Both teams to score 49.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% | 54.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% | 75.93% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% | 34.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.26% | 70.74% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% | 58.68% |
| Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense 28.69%
Palmeiras 44.71%
Draw 26.59%
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.73% 3-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.69% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.71% |
How you voted: Athletico PR vs Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
22.2%Draw
11.1%Palmeiras
66.7%9


