MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 20:51:32| >> :60:167:167:
Athletico Paranaense
CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Palmeiras

Athletico PR
2 - 2
Palmeiras

Terans (19'), Marlos (76')
Heleno (70'), Erick (74'), Hernandez (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jailson (28'), Veiga (90+7' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONMEBOL Recopa clash between Athletico Paranaense and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Palmeiras

Although they have home advantage for the first leg, we think that Athletico Paranaense will be unable to take a lead into the second leg, with Palmeiras currently enjoying a eight-game unbeaten run in meetings with Wednesday's opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
28.69%26.59%44.72%
Both teams to score 49.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41%54.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07%75.93%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95%34.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26%70.74%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7%24.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32%58.68%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 28.69%
    Palmeiras 44.71%
    Draw 26.59%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.69%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-2 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.71%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
22.2%
Draw
11.1%
Palmeiras
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 37
Athletico PR
0-0
Palmeiras
Canesin (75')
Garcia (45+3')
Aug 29, 2021 1am
Gameweek 18
Palmeiras
2-1
Athletico PR
Rafael (69'), Deyverson (82'), Melo (88')
Nov 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 23
Palmeiras
3-0
Athletico PR
De Paula (8'), Rony (35', 50')
D (48'), Menino (67')

Christian (71')
Aug 19, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 4
Athletico PR
0-1
Palmeiras

Khellven (24'), Martins (34'), Vitinho (59'), Canesin (86'), Heleno (90+5')
Veiga (90+2')
Oct 20, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 27
Athletico PR
1-1
Palmeiras
Cirino (6')
Heleno (68')
Deyverson (40')
Gomez (30'), Henrique (71')
rhs 2.0
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