Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 5, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio Olímpico de la UCV

Caracas
0 - 0
Athletico PR

Notaroberto (66')

Moura (66')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

Last Game: Athletico PR 5-1 Caracas
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Caracas win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Caracas	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
36.57%	23.83%	39.6%

Both teams to score 62.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.9%

40.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53%

62.47%

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03%

21.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.73%

55.27%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51%

20.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03%

52.97%

Score Analysis

Caracas 36.57%

Athletico Paranaense 39.6%

Draw 23.83%

Caracas	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 8.19% 1-0 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.57%	1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 8.57% 0-1 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.6%