Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Aug 20, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
1 - 0
Santos

(2-2 on aggregate)

Ferreira (14')
Vangioni (23'), Barboza (37'), Bocanegra (83'), Martinez (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Leonardo (66'), Felipe (68'), Guilherme (73'), Paulo (90+1')
Leonardo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Club Libertad and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Libertad in this match.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Santos
42.88%	25.58%	31.54%

Both teams to score 54.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67%

49.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62%

71.38%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1%

22.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.35%

56.65%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69%

29.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72%

65.28%

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 42.88%

Santos 31.54%

Draw 25.58%

Club Libertad	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.54%

How you voted: Libertad vs Santos

Club Libertad

18.2%

Draw

40.9%

Santos