Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente1 - 1Santos
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Santos had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Santos |
| 46.13% | 24.1% | 29.77% |
| Both teams to score 58.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% | 43.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% | 65.95% |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% | 19.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% | 50.63% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% | 27.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% | 63.14% |
| Score Analysis |
Independiente 46.13%
Santos 29.77%
Draw 24.09%
| Independiente | Draw | Santos |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.27% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.77% |
How you voted: Independiente vs Santos
Independiente
60.0%Draw
25.7%Santos
14.3%35


