Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Santos had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Santos |
| 39.3% | 28.4% | 32.29% |
| Both teams to score 46.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.94% | 60.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.72% | 80.28% |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% | 29.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% | 65.82% |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% | 34.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% | 70.98% |
| Score Analysis |
America Mineiro 39.3%
Santos 32.28%
Draw 28.39%
| America Mineiro | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.98% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.29% Total : 32.28% |
How you voted: America Mineiro vs Santos
America Mineiro
46.7%Draw
36.7%Santos
16.7%30


