Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
Club Libertad

Junior
3 - 4
Libertad

Valencia (4'), Piedrahita (36'), Hinestroza (39')
Pacheco (33'), Martinez (62')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Villalba (12', 14'), Enciso (48'), Martinez (71')
Enciso (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Atletico Junior and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Libertad would win this match.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawClub Libertad
35.22%24.84%39.94%
Both teams to score 58.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94%45.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59%67.41%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02%24.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37%59.62%
Club Libertad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52%22.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97%56.03%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 35.22%
    Club Libertad 39.94%
    Draw 24.83%
Atletico JuniorDrawClub Libertad
2-1 @ 8.06%
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.4%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.22%
1-1 @ 11.62%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 8.38%
0-2 @ 6.25%
1-3 @ 4.32%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.94%

How you voted: Junior vs Libertad

Atletico Junior
61.1%
Draw
27.8%
Club Libertad
11.1%
18
rhs 2.0


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