Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Junior

Martinez (29'), Alvarez (55')
Montiel (34'), Casco (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borja (90+4')
Hinestroza (28'), Montiel (34'), Vasquez (59'), Casco (77'), Ditta (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Atletico Junior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawAtletico Junior
47.3%21.23%31.47%
Both teams to score 70.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.36%28.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.47%49.53%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08%12.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.63%39.36%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76%19.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06%50.94%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 47.3%
    Atletico Junior 31.47%
    Draw 21.23%
River PlateDrawAtletico Junior
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 5.2%
1-0 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-3 @ 1.36%
5-1 @ 1.23%
5-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 7.07%
3-3 @ 2.65%
0-0 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-1 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 3.89%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-2 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-4 @ 1.6%
1-4 @ 1.57%
3-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 31.47%

How you voted: River Plate vs Junior

River Plate
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Atletico Junior
10.0%
10
rhs 2.0


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