Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez

Junior
1 - 1
Santa Fe

Hinestroza (31'), David Osorio Antury (35' pen.)
Steven Angel Bernal (6'), Adolfo Arias Andrade (17'), Arboleda (24'), Torijano Cano (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Junior and Santa Fe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawSanta Fe
45%24.25%30.76%
Both teams to score 58.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25%43.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86%66.14%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45%51.55%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95%27.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58%62.42%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 45%
    Santa Fe 30.76%
    Draw 24.24%
Atletico JuniorDrawSanta Fe
2-1 @ 9.2%
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 45%
1-1 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.39%
0-1 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.76%

How you voted: Junior vs Santa Fe

Atletico Junior
16.7%
Draw
83.3%
Santa Fe
0.0%
6