Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 9, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
2 - 1
Junior

Ramos (4'), Bejarano (48')
Justiniano (12'), Ramos (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mera (10')
Enrique Martinez Yepez (19'), Ditta (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Bolivar and Atletico Junior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.08%) and 3-2 (4.86%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolivar in this match.

Result
BolivarDrawAtletico Junior
41.08%20.96%37.96%
Both teams to score 73.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.75%25.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.76%45.24%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36%13.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.19%40.81%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22%14.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97%43.03%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 41.08%
    Atletico Junior 37.96%
    Draw 20.96%
BolivarDrawAtletico Junior
2-1 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 4.86%
1-0 @ 4.02%
2-0 @ 4%
3-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 2.42%
4-3 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.01%
5-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 7.31%
3-3 @ 3.1%
0-0 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 4.66%
0-1 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 2.24%
2-4 @ 2.23%
3-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 37.96%

How you voted: Bolivar vs Junior

Bolivar
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
Atletico Junior
25.0%
12
rhs 2.0


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