Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Nov 25, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
2 - 1
Lanus

Riquelme (45'), Haquin (86')
Machado (39'), Emanuel (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Belmonte (33')
Perez (26'), Morales (68'), Di Placido (76'), Bernabei (78')
Di Placido (90+12')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between Bolivar and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolivar in this match.

Result
BolivarDrawLanus
50.35%22.82%26.83%
Both teams to score 60.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41%39.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06%61.94%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08%15.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83%45.17%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85%63.15%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 50.35%
    Lanus 26.83%
    Draw 22.81%
BolivarDrawLanus
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-3 @ 1.56%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 26.83%

rhs 2.0


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