Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 16, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior
3 - 0
Bolivar

Borja (12'), Pajoy (81'), Hinestroza (90+6')
Enrique Martinez Yepez (54'), Borja (68'), Gonzalez (90+1'), Viafara (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Quinteros (43'), Ramos (55')
Ramos (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Junior and Bolivar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawBolivar
51.01%23.27%25.73%
Both teams to score 58.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38%42.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97%65.03%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2%16.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24%46.77%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96%30.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83%66.18%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 51.01%
    Bolivar 25.73%
    Draw 23.26%
Atletico JuniorDrawBolivar
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 9%
2-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.45%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 25.73%

How you voted: Junior vs Bolivar

Atletico Junior
40.0%
Draw
35.0%
Bolivar
25.0%
20
rhs 2.0


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