Santos
2 - 1
Libertad

(2-2 on aggregate)

Sanchez (43' pen.), Barboza (90+3' og.)
Jonatan (51'), Leonardo (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bocanegra (59')
Villalba (45'), Vangioni (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Santos and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Santos in this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Club Libertad
49.23%	23.29%	27.47%

Both teams to score 59.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.67%

41.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.27%

63.73%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.03%

16.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.93%

47.07%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27%

63.72%

Score Analysis

Santos 49.23%

Club Libertad 27.47%

Draw 23.29%

Santos	Draw	Club Libertad
2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.1% Total : 49.23%	1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.47%