Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz
Libertad0 - 1Junior
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Atletico Junior |
| 44.74% | 23.17% | 32.08% |
| Both teams to score 63.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.96% | 38.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.69% | 60.31% |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% | 17.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.13% | 47.86% |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% | 23.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% | 57.46% |
| Score Analysis |
Club Libertad 44.74%
Atletico Junior 32.08%
Draw 23.17%
| Club Libertad | Draw | Atletico Junior |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.04% Total : 44.74% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-1 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.08% |


