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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 18, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Santos

The Strongest
2 - 1
Santos

Reinoso (16'), Willie (23')
Castillo (17'), Valverde (73')
Castillo (24'), Henrique Zoch Mendez (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jonatan (64')
Mota (26'), Jorge (51'), Copete (60'), Jonatan (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between The Strongest and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Santos had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.

Result
The StrongestDrawSantos
37.51%25.91%36.58%
Both teams to score 54.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23%49.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22%71.77%
The Strongest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12%25.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14%60.86%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59%26.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43%61.56%
Score Analysis
    The Strongest 37.51%
    Santos 36.58%
    Draw 25.91%
The StrongestDrawSantos
1-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.83%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.58%

How you voted: The Strongest vs Santos

The Strongest
29.6%
Draw
14.8%
Santos
55.6%
27
Head to Head
May 4, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Santos
5-0
The Strongest
Marinho (1'), Pirani (26'), Vinicius (43'), Braga (59'), Malthus (83')
Fernandes (51')

Arrascaita (13'), Wayar (82')
rhs 2.0
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