Fortaleza
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 23, 2022 at 12am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara

Fortaleza
2 - 0
Ceara

Pikachu (55', 85' pen.)
Capixaba (12'), Robson (16'), Ronald (20'), Felipe (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Richard (45+4'), Richardson (64'), Messias (72'), Ricardo (83'), Castilho (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Fortaleza and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 America Mineiro
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Ceara
Saturday, June 18 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawCeara
48.34% (0.00099999999999767 0)27.81% (0.181 0.18)23.85% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 42.99% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.33% (-0.695 -0.7)61.66% (0.697 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.51% (-0.518 -0.52)81.49% (0.52000000000001 0.52)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.316 -0.32)25.71% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.431 -0.43)60.63% (0.434 0.43)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (-0.569 -0.57)42.13% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.45% (-0.495 -0.5)78.55% (0.498 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 48.33%
    Ceara 23.85%
    Draw 27.8%
FortalezaDrawCeara
1-0 @ 14.71% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 48.33%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.83% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.097 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 23.85%

Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 12.30am
Fortaleza
0-1
Ceara

Ceballos (20'), Lima (27'), Pikachu (57'), Welison (89')
Felipe (20')
Cleber (45+11')
Richard (20'), Richardson (33'), Cleber (45+12'), Lima (55')
Nov 17, 2021 11pm
Fortaleza
0-4
Ceara

Ronald (89'), Marcelo (90+1')
Lima (14'), Vinicius (45+1', 86'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Fabinho (66'), Ricardo (66'), Dias (69'), Mendoza (80')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am
Ceara
3-1
Fortaleza
Kelvyn (37'), Cleber (81'), Rick (86')
Marlon (55'), Lacerda (90+6')
Tinga (11')
de Vargas (53'), David (60'), Titi (75')
Dec 20, 2020 11.30pm
Fortaleza
0-2
Ceara

Juninho (90+6')
Lima (47'), Cleber (55')
Chu (77')
Sep 2, 2020 11pm
Ceara
1-0
Fortaleza
Vinicius (44')
Vinicius (70'), Charles (78')

Felipe (71'), Vazquez (74')