Ceara vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.