Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Aug 2, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Castelao
Fortaleza

Ceara
3 - 1
Fortaleza

Kelvyn (37'), Cleber (81'), Rick (86')
Marlon (55'), Lacerda (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tinga (11')
de Vargas (53'), David (60'), Titi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawFortaleza
43.59%27.59%28.81%
Both teams to score 47.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74%58.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11%78.89%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48%26.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28%61.72%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07%35.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3%72.7%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 43.59%
    Fortaleza 28.81%
    Draw 27.59%
CearaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 43.59%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 28.81%

How you voted: Ceara vs Fortaleza

Ceara
35.0%
Draw
35.0%
Fortaleza
30.0%
20