Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 56.21% | 25.55% | 18.24% |
| Both teams to score 41.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% | 59.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% | 79.77% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% | 21.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% | 54.12% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.13% | 46.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.62% | 82.38% |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 56.2%
Fortaleza 18.24%
Draw 25.54%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Fortaleza |
| 1-0 @ 15.41% 2-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.06% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 4.68% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.96% Total : 56.2% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.48% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.54% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.24% |
How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza
Sao Paulo
34.4%Draw
21.9%Fortaleza
43.8%32


