Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 50.42% | 26.55% | 23.03% |
| Both teams to score 45.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% | 78.77% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% | 23.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% | 57.04% |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% | 40.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.54% | 77.46% |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 50.41%
America Mineiro 23.03%
Draw 26.54%
| Fortaleza | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.06% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.62% Total : 50.41% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 5.54% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.25% Total : 23.03% |
How you voted: Fortaleza vs America Mineiro
Fortaleza
87.5%Draw
8.3%America Mineiro
4.2%24


