Fortaleza
3 - 2
Chapecoense

David (50'), Robson (62'), Pikachu (72')
Quintero (20'), Marcelo (42'), Alves (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramon (35' pen.), Perotti (81')
Lima (4'), Ventura (33'), Ravanelli (41'), Guedes (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Chapecoense
52.22%	26.62%	21.16%

Both teams to score 43.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.08%

59.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.82%

80.17%

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86%

23.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99%

57%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.15%

43.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20%

80%

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 52.2%

Chapecoense 21.16%

Draw 26.61%

Fortaleza	Draw	Chapecoense
1-0 @ 14.84% 2-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 4.37% 4-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.53% Total : 52.2%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 8.37% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.02% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.16%