Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Goias had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.