Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2022 at 12am UK

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
1 - 0
Fortaleza

(Fortaleza win 2-1 on aggregate)

Vinicius (61')
Vinicius (7'), Vinicius (8'), Richardson (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Romarinho (13'), Romarinho (14'), Felipe (67'), Hercules (76'), Pikachu (83'), Welison (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Ceara and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Fortaleza
52.28% ( -0.21)	24.56% ( -0.08)	23.15% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 51.2% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

0.62)

50.57% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.54)

72.48% (

-0.54)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

0.15)

19.31% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93% (

0.25)

51.07% (

-0.25)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.45% (

0.62)

36.54% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.67% (

0.62)

73.33% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Ceara 52.28%

Fortaleza 23.15%

Draw 24.56%

Ceara	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.28%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.8% Total : 23.15%