We said: Fluminense 1-0 Ceara
Though they certainly know how to scramble for hard-earned points, Ceara will not be able to spoil Fred's leaving party - ending their undefeated streak in the process.
A confident Flu side, with more depth in attacking areas, can extend their winning run and potentially close the gap on leaders Palmeiras.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.