MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 11:46:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 9, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Ceara

Fluminense
2 - 1
Ceara

Cano (39'), Martins (54')
Martins (18'), Melo (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Otavio (90+3')
Castilho (70'), Messias (87'), Richard (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Fluminense 1-0 Ceara

Though they certainly know how to scramble for hard-earned points, Ceara will not be able to spoil Fred's leaving party - ending their undefeated streak in the process. A confident Flu side, with more depth in attacking areas, can extend their winning run and potentially close the gap on leaders Palmeiras. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCeara
51.6%26.58%21.82% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (0.004999999999999 0)79.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)42.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 51.59%
    Ceara 21.82%
    Draw 26.58%
FluminenseDrawCeara
1-0 @ 14.47%
2-0 @ 10.6%
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.4%
4-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.08%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 21.82%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Ceara

Fluminense
85.2%
Draw
7.4%
Ceara
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Ceara
1-0
Fluminense
Vinicius (7' pen.)
Fabinho (42'), Mendoza (68'), Oliveira (84'), Messias (90+2')
Dias (29')

Andre (18'), Fred (90+2')
Jul 8, 2021 1.30am
Fluminense
0-0
Ceara

Nino (33'), Lucca (60')

Vinicius (34'), Jael (36'), Cleber (55'), Naressi (88')
Feb 15, 2021 9pm
Ceara
1-3
Fluminense
Vinicius (78' pen.)
Chu (23')
Kennedy (45'), Martinelli (59'), S (88')
Lucca (17')
Oct 17, 2020 11pm
Fluminense
2-2
Ceara
Henrique (13'), Barcelos (90+1')
Digao (30'), Paulista (54'), Andre (82')
Hudson (42' og.), Vinicius (78')
Tiago (16'), Naressi (19'), Sobis (44')
Oct 31, 2019 12.30am
Ceara
2-0
Fluminense
Bergson (14'), Mateus (92')
Fabinho (86')

Yuri (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BragantinoBragantino32105327
2FlamengoFlamengo32104227
3Botafogo32018446
4Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR32015236
5Gremio32014226
6InternacionalInternacional32013216
7Atletico Mineiro31204135
8FortalezaFortaleza21103214
9Fluminense31115504
10Bahia31115504
11PalmeirasPalmeiras31111104
12JuventudeJuventude311146-24
13Cruzeiro311146-24
14Sao Paulo31025413
15Vasco da GamaVasco310245-13
16CriciumaCriciuma20202202
17Vitoria201123-11
18Corinthians301203-31
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO300316-50
20Cuiaba200205-50


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