Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 9, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
2 - 1
Ceara

Cano (39'), Martins (54')
Martins (18'), Melo (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Otavio (90+3')
Castilho (70'), Messias (87'), Richard (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Ceara
51.6%	26.58%	21.82% ( 0)

Both teams to score 44.01% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.77% (

0.01)

59.23% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.35% (

79.65% (

-0)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88% (

23.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.02% (

56.98% (

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.24% (

0.01)

42.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.91% (

0.01)

79.09% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 51.59%

Ceara 21.82%

Draw 26.58%

Fluminense	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 14.47% 2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.4% 4-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.57% Total : 51.59%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.08% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.05% Total : 21.82%