Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.84%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Fluminense |
| 43.84% | 28.22% | 27.94% |
| Both teams to score 44.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.22% | 60.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.17% | 80.82% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% | 27.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% | 63.1% |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% | 74.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Ceara 43.83%
Fluminense 27.93%
Draw 28.21%
| Ceara | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 8.41% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.77% Total : 43.83% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.93% |


