Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2022 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Manoel 15' goal
  • German Cano 42' goal
  • German Cano 71' goal
  • Fred 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Guilherme Biro 40'
  • yellowcard Junior Moraes 49'
  • yellowcard Robert Renan 88'

Fluminense vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Jun 26, 2022 8.00pm
Botafogo 0 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
German Cano

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Jun 25, 2022 11.00pm
Corinthians 0 - 0 Santos
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Roger Guedes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result

Fluminense 49.22% (+0.39)
Draw 26.96% (-0.03)
Corinthians 23.81% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.11% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.09% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 58.91% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 20.6% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 79.4% (+0.15)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 75.94% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 24.06% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 41.67% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 58.33% (-0.14)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 59.4% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 40.6% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 22.8% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 77.2% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Fluminense 49.22%
Draw 26.96%
Corinthians 23.81%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.91% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 9.91% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.68% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.77% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.96%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.81%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Oct 14, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fagner 31' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pereira 69' goal
  • yellowcard Danilo Barcelos 28'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 27, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luccas Claro 35' yellowcard
  • Abel Hernandez 50' redcard
  • Danilo Barcelos 65' yellowcard
  • Juan Cazares 70' goal
  • Andre 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jo 37'
  • yellowcard Angelo Araos 45'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jo 26' goal
  • Victor Cantillo 46' yellowcard
  • Juan Cazares 56' goal
  • Fagner 62' goal
  • Mateus Vital 67' goal
  • Luan Vieira 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Hudson 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Fred 45'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Sep 13, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nene 8' goal
  • Douglas Moreira 36' yellowcard
  • Nene 66' yellowcard
  • Nene 88' goal
  • Danilo Barcelos 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel 4'
  • yellowcard Walter 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Mendez 46'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 66'
  • goal Mateus Vital 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2019 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena Corinthians (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Gustavo 63' goal
  • Gil 66' yellowcard
  • goal Evanilson 8'
  • goal Evanilson 28'
  • yellowcard Nene 34'
  • yellowcard Evanilson 45'
  • yellowcard Igor Juliao 95'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Sep 15, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Ganso 40' goal
  • Nino 48' yellowcard
  • Yuri 51' yellowcard
  • Muriel 67' yellowcard
  • Moraes Gilberto 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Urso 29'