Fluminense
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 23, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Cruzeiro

Fluminense
2 - 1
Cruzeiro

Manoel (45+1'), Cano (57')
Arias (15'), Xavier (72'), Andre (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oliveira (45+7')
Ivaldo (30'), Edu (45+2'), Pedrao (75'), Oliveira (86')
Jesus (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Fluminense and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Avai
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Cruzeiro

Last Six:
    Last Game: CRB 1-1 Cruzeiro
    Wednesday, August 26 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

    Result
    FluminenseDrawCruzeiro
    47.16% (-0.463 -0.46)26.39% (0.187 0.19)26.45% (0.277 0.28)
    Both teams to score 48.97% (-0.318 -0.32)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    44.93% (-0.523 -0.52)55.07% (0.523 0.52)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    23.67% (-0.434 -0.43)76.33% (0.434 0.43)
    Fluminense Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76.65% (-0.437 -0.44)23.35% (0.438 0.44)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    42.69% (-0.64 -0.64)57.31% (0.641 0.64)
    Cruzeiro Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    63.89% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)36.11% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    27.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)72.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
    Score Analysis
        Fluminense 47.16%
        Cruzeiro 26.45%
        Draw 26.39%
    FluminenseDrawCruzeiro
    1-0 @ 12.26% (0.09 0.09)
    2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
    2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
    3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.088 -0.09)
    3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
    3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
    4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
    4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
    Other @ 2.74%
    Total : 47.16%
    		1-1 @ 12.49% (0.08 0.08)
    0-0 @ 8.43% (0.17 0.17)
    2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
    Other @ 0.84%
    Total : 26.39%
    		0-1 @ 8.59% (0.161 0.16)
    1-2 @ 6.36% (0.03 0.03)
    0-2 @ 4.37% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
    1-3 @ 2.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
    0-3 @ 1.49% (0.024 0.02)
    Other @ 1.91%
    Total : 26.45%

    How you voted: Fluminense vs Cruzeiro

    Fluminense
    60.5%
    Draw
    14.0%
    Cruzeiro
    25.6%
    43
    Head to Head
    Oct 10, 2019 1.30am
    Cruzeiro
    0-0
    Fluminense

    Fred (45'), Robinho (55'), Egidio (80'), Mendes (90')

    Yuri (45'), Ganso (79'), Fagundes (96')
    May 18, 2019 8pm
    Fluminense
    4-1
    Cruzeiro
    Nino (44'), Luciano (46'), Pedro (81', 94')
    Allan (62'), Luciano (72'), Pedro (95')
    Robinho (49')
    Rodriguinho (40'), Rocha (68')
    Aug 26, 2018 1am
    Cruzeiro
    2-1
    Fluminense
    Raniel (14'), Ayrton (73' og.)
    Hermes (3'), Dede (44'), Henrique (59'), Romero (90')
    Henrique (27' og.)
    Gum (14'), Jadson (32'), Ibanez (44')
    Apr 22, 2018 8pm
    Fluminense
    1-0
    Cruzeiro
    Pedro (49')
    Chaves (43'), Pedro (77'), Cesar (88')
    Gilberto (15')

    De Arrascaeta (69'), Dede (82')