Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.