Copa Sudamericana
Jul 6, 2022 11.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Richardson 23' goal
  • Victor Luis 26' goal
  • Vinicius Lima 52' goal
  • Richardson 55' yellowcard
  • Nino Paraiba 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luciano Ursino 45'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Esparza 74'

Ceara vs The Strongest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
The Strongest 1 - 2 Ceara

The Strongest

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
The Strongest 1 - 2 Ceara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result

Ceara 56.33% (+0.03)
Draw 28.13% (-0.01)
The Strongest 15.54% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.26% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 30.43% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 69.57% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 13.04% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 86.96% (+0.02)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 74.35% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.65% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.45% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.55%

The Strongest Goals

Over 0.5 43.39% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 56.61% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 11.18% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 88.82% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Ceara 56.32%
Draw 28.12%
The Strongest 15.54%
Ceara
1-0 @ 19.75% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 13.44% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.1% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.32%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.51% (+0.01)
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 28.12%
The Strongest
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 15.54%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Luciano Ursino 5' goal
  • Adrian Jusino 61' yellowcard
  • Saul Torres 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 48'
  • yellowcard Nino Paraiba 55'
  • yellowcard Iury Castilho 72'
  • goal Erick 76'
  • yellowcard Erick 79'
  • yellowcard Ze Roberto 86'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 90'+1'
  • goal Ze Roberto 90'+3'