Brasileiro | Gameweek 12

Jun 16, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio da Ressacada

Avai
3 - 2
Fortaleza

Muriqui (33'), Bissoli (40' pen., 70' pen.)
Renato (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Robson (44'), Moises (65')
Welison (17'), Robson (67'), Boeck (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Avai and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avai would win this match.

Result
Avai	Draw	Fortaleza
40.81% ( -0.03)	27.71% ( 0.01)	31.48% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.9% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.22% (

-0.05)

57.78% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.48% (

-0.04)

78.51% (

0.04)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

-0.04)

27.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62% (

-0.05)

63.38% (

0.05)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34% (

-0.01)

33.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69% (

-0.01)

70.31% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Avai 40.8%

Fortaleza 31.47%

Draw 27.71%

Avai	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.47%