Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Avai had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.