Copa Libertadores
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Manuel Castro
9'
-
Manuel Castro
47'
-
Fernando Zuqui
45'+4'
-
Franco Zapiola
57'
-
Fabian Noguera
83'
-
Juninho Capixaba
11'
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Yago Pikachu
21'
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Yago Pikachu
22'
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Moises
60'
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Jose Welison
62'
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Jose Welison
63'
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Romarinho
81'
Estudiantes vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
Result
Estudiantes
59.84%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
22.05%
▲
(+0.02)
Fortaleza
18.1%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
51.44%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
46.44%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
31.27%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
68.72%
▲
(+0.08)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5
84.88%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
15.11%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
56.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
43.67%
▲
(+0.05)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5
60.6%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
39.39%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
23.91%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
76.09%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Estudiantes
59.83%
Draw
22.05%
Fortaleza
18.1%
Estudiantes
1-0
@
11.25%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 59.83%
2-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 59.83%
Draw
1-1
@
10.48%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 22.05%
0-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 22.05%
Fortaleza
0-1
@
5.55%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.1%
1-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.1%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
Jul 1, 2022 1.30am
1
1
HT :
0
0
FT
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
-
Juninho Capixaba
34'
-
Silvio Romero
55'
-
Marcelo
85'
-
Marcelo
86'
-
Leandro Diaz
63'
-
Fabian Noguera
85'