Coritiba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 3, 2022 at 10.45pm UK
Estádio Couto Pereira
Fortaleza

Coritiba
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Gamalho (2'), Hugo (90+4')
Manga (33'), Val (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Habraao (84')
Ronald (45'), Capixaba (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

Last Six:
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Coritiba
Saturday, June 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Estudiantes
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coritiba would win this match.

Result
CoritibaDrawFortaleza
43.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)27.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02)29.2% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.94% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74% (-0.103 -0.1)57.26% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9% (-0.084 -0.08)78.1% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26.15% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)61.22% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.92% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)35.08% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.17% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)71.82% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 43.43%
    Fortaleza 29.2%
    Draw 27.35%
CoritibaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.25% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 43.43%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: Coritiba vs Fortaleza

Coritiba
46.2%
Draw
30.8%
Fortaleza
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2021 9.30pm
Fortaleza
3-1
Coritiba
Silva (43' og.), David (44'), Paulista (84')
Paulao (78'), Paulista (88'), Felipe (88')
Oliveira (27')
Osman (45+6'), Rhodolfo (82'), Wilson (85'), Rafinha (88'), Sarrafiore (88')
Rhodolfo (90+3'), Wilson (90+6')
Oct 10, 2020 11pm
Coritiba
0-0
Fortaleza

Silva (60')