Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jun 26, 2022 at 1am UK
Mineirão
Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 2
Fortaleza

Rubens (76'), Rever (87'), Jussa (90+6' og.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Romarinho (3', 29')
Ronald (53'), Boeck (78'), Crispim (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Ceara
Thursday, June 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 13.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawFortaleza
65.43% (-1.117 -1.12)20.72% (0.465 0.47)13.84% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 46.19% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (-0.564 -0.56)48.52% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35% (-0.515 -0.51)70.65% (0.511 0.51)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)14.03% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.41% (-1.021 -1.02)41.59% (1.015 1.02)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.73% (0.651 0.65)46.27% (-0.656 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.07% (0.495 0.5)81.93% (-0.502 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 65.42%
    Fortaleza 13.84%
    Draw 20.72%
Atletico MineiroDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.51% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.2% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.02% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 65.42%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.221 0.22)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 5% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 13.84%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Fortaleza
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
Fortaleza
0-2
Atletico Mineiro

Tinga (42')
Zaracho (49'), Alonso (69')
Mariano (34'), Jair (58')
May 30, 2021 3pm
Atletico Mineiro
1-2
Fortaleza
Hulk (40' pen.)
Rodrigues de Souza (36'), Rabello (45+1')
Pikachu (60', 90+4')
Felipe (38'), Paulista (39'), Crispim (79'), Ederson (87')
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Fortaleza
Arana (57'), Vargas (67')

de Souza (66')
Oct 8, 2020 1.30am
Fortaleza
2-1
Atletico Mineiro
David (37'), Melo (85')
Felipe (32'), David (67'), Dias (69')
Felipe (38')
Sasha (42')
Sasha (44'), Mariano (72'), Keno (90+5')
Nov 2, 2019 8pm
Fortaleza
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Dias (15', 28')
de Souza (59'), Felipe (73'), Paulista (88')
Patric (24'), Santos (87')
Geuvanio (36'), Rever (66'), Di Santo (74')
Geuvanio (46')