Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 19, 2022 at 10pm UK
Castelao
America Mineiro

Fortaleza
1 - 0
America Mineiro

Pikachu (43')
Ceballos (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Avai 3-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

America Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawAmerica Mineiro
60.86% (-0.136 -0.14)23.52% (0.081 0.08)15.62% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.38% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99% (-0.206 -0.21)56.01% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (-0.167 -0.17)77.1% (0.166 0.17)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.125 -0.13)18.12% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (-0.213 -0.21)49.08% (0.213 0.21)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.76% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)48.25% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.59% (-0.038 -0.04)83.41% (0.038000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 60.86%
    America Mineiro 15.62%
    Draw 23.52%
FortalezaDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.93% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.75%
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 60.86%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 15.62%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs America Mineiro

Fortaleza
50.0%
Draw
42.9%
America Mineiro
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 1am
America Mineiro
2-1
Fortaleza
Ademir (42' pen.), Azevedo (84')
David (50')
Jussa (58'), Titi (63'), Lima (66'), Romarinho (77'), Ederson (81')
Jul 7, 2021 10pm
Fortaleza
4-0
America Mineiro
Ederson (45+2'), David (56', 62'), Torres (84')
Felipe (80'), Ederson (85')

Alberto (89')