Estudiantes
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 25, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Estudiantes
0 - 2
Newell's OB


Zuqui (52'), Rogel (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sordo (57'), Garro (72')
Ditta (6'), Fernandez (43'), Jacob (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Newell's Old Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Estudiantes
Tuesday, June 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Newell's Old Boys

Last Six:
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, June 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawNewell's Old Boys
50.5% (-0.175 -0.17)26.87% (0.07 0.07)22.63% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 44.17% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5% (-0.151 -0.15)59.5% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.15% (-0.117 -0.12)79.85% (0.114 0.11)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)23.73% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14% (-0.206 -0.21)57.86% (0.203 0.2)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.91% (0.014000000000003 0.01)42.09% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.49% (0.013000000000002 0.01)78.51% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 50.5%
    Newell's Old Boys 22.63%
    Draw 26.87%
EstudiantesDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.36% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 22.63%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs Newell's OB

Estudiantes
29.4%
Draw
41.2%
Newell's Old Boys
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2021 1am
Newell's OB
4-2
Estudiantes
Scocco (11'), Castro (61', 74'), Giani (71')
Castro (36', 63')
Pasquini (16')
Dec 12, 2020 8.10pm
Zone Four
Newell's OB
1-0
Estudiantes
Cacciabue (22')
Perez (24'), Guanini (56'), Cabrera (90+5')
Guanini (72')

Gomez (41'), Guzman (65')
Lattanzio (90+1')
Feb 8, 2020 10.40pm
Newell's OB
0-0
Estudiantes

Leal dos Anjos (29'), Fernandez (65'), Gabrielli (90')

Rodriguez (26'), Retegui (67')
Oct 24, 2018 11.30pm
Estudiantes
1-0
Newell's OB
Pavone (71')
Erquiaga (39'), Apaolaza (91')

Rivero (17'), Leal (56'), Aguerre (91'), Fontanini (91')
Rivero (63')