Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Estudiantes

Independiente
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Benegas (52'), Fernandez (57' pen.)
Vigo (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Godoy (82')
Rodriguez (30'), Spetale (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
50.92% (-0.907 -0.91)25.81% (0.217 0.22)23.27% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73% (-0.18 -0.18)55.27% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.148 -0.15)76.5% (0.151 0.15)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.458 -0.46)21.75% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.706 -0.71)54.94% (0.708 0.71)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.568 0.57)39.06% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.527 0.53)75.78% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 50.92%
    Estudiantes 23.27%
    Draw 25.81%
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.177 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.27%

How you voted: Independiente vs Estudiantes

Independiente
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Estudiantes
58.3%
24
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
2-1
Independiente
Boselli (46'), Rogel (53')
Del Prete (20')
Laso (61')
Laso (20'), Benavidez (22'), Fernandez (82')
Jul 26, 2021 12.15am
Estudiantes
0-1
Independiente
Manuel Insaurralde (15')
May 15, 2021 9.30pm
Estudiantes
0-0
Independiente
 Independiente win 4-1 on penalties

Rogel (33'), Apaolaza (75'), Sabbag (86')

Ortega (50'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
Ortega (59')
Aug 20, 2019 12am
Estudiantes
3-0
Independiente
Gonzalez (47'), Garcia (72'), Kalinski (83')
Mura (18'), Kalinski (37')

Figal (18'), Barboza (45')
Sep 2, 2018 5.15pm
Estudiantes
2-2
Independiente
Apaolaza (7'), Pellegrini (26')
Luguercio (28'), Erquiaga (36'), Pellegrini (51'), Zuqui (72'), Pavone (86')
Romero (49'), Romero (56')
Figal (44'), Romero (62'), Bustos (67'), Silva (72'), Hernandez (91')
Figal (72')