Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Independiente

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Independiente

Nuss (21'), Vera (53')
Moyano (45+2'), Nuss (45+5'), Vera (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Benegas (44')
Rodriguez (39'), Laso (73'), Fernandez (90'), Barreto (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, June 11 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
45.39% (0.557 0.56)27.81% (0.402 0.4)26.79% (-0.961 -0.96)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-1.714 -1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.04% (-1.871 -1.87)59.96% (1.87 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.79% (-1.45 -1.45)80.21% (1.449 1.45)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.577 -0.58)26.39% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.774 -0.77)61.54% (0.772 0.77)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-1.832 -1.83)38.51% (1.831 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-1.792 -1.79)75.25% (1.791 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 45.38%
    Independiente 26.79%
    Draw 27.81%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.71 0.71)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.336 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 45.38%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.16% (0.693 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 26.79%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente

Argentinos Juniors
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Independiente
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2021 12.15am
Independiente
0-0
Argentinos Jrs

Manuel Insaurralde (21'), Roa (76'), Romero (77')

Gomez (26'), Ovando (86'), Di Cesare (87')
Dec 28, 2020 10.20pm
Zone Five
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Coronel (86')
Menendez (24'), Velasco (71')
Bustos (61')
Oct 19, 2019 7.30pm
Independiente
0-1
Argentinos Jrs

Perez (7'), Bustos (9'), Palacios (25'), Figal (84')
Roa (45')
Gomez (86')
Sandoval (32'), Gomez (34'), Mac Allister (42'), Silva (55'), Batallini (70')
Nov 4, 2018 2pm
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Independiente

Montero (81')
Gigliotti (17', 86')