Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
26.23% ( 0.51)	26.2% ( 0.2)	47.57% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.48% (

-0.43)

54.52% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.13% (

-0.36)

75.87% (

0.36)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.01% (

0.2)

36% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

0.2)

72.78% (

-0.2)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08% (

-0.51)

22.93% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.31% (

-0.75)

56.69% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 26.23%

Argentinos Juniors 47.56%

Draw 26.19%

Sarmiento	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.23%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.56%