Sarmiento
2 - 1
Defensa

Brea (35'), Arismendi (45+1')
Arismendi (27')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ayala (31' og.)
Colombo (85')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
36.04%	26.01%	37.94%

Both teams to score 54.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74%

50.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79%

72.2%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05%

26.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71%

62.28%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14%

25.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.16%

60.83%

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 36.04%

Defensa y Justicia 37.94%

Draw 26.01%

Sarmiento	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.04%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.94%