/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fdyjlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fsarlog.png)
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Rodrigo Contreras
28'
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Francisco Pizzini
34'
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Nicolas Tripichio
51'
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Carlos Rotondi
75'
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Hugo Francisco Fernandez Martinez
84'
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Lucas Barrios
90'+5'
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Jonathan Torres
37'
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Julian Chicco
58'
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Braian Salvareschi
69'
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Nicolas Bazzana
90'
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Jonathan Torres
90'+3'
Defensa y Justicia vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
Result
Defensa y Justicia
54.7%
Draw
23.47%
Sarmiento
21.82%
Both Teams to Score:
52.9%
Goals
Over 2.5
52.52%
Under 2.5
47.47%
Over 3.5
30.31%
Under 3.5
69.68%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5
82.76%
Under 0.5
17.23%
Over 1.5
52.46%
Under 1.5
47.53%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5
63.92%
Under 0.5
36.08%
Over 1.5
27.14%
Under 1.5
72.86%
Score analysis
Defensa y Justicia
54.7%
Draw
23.47%
Sarmiento
21.82%
Defensa y Justicia
1-0
@
10.93%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.61%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.7%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.61%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 54.7%
Draw
1-1
@
11.14%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 23.47%
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 23.47%
Sarmiento
0-1
@
6.34%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.82%