Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa3 - 2Gimnasia
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Gimnasia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 39.42% | 28.42% | 32.16% |
| Both teams to score 46.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
