Flamengo
4 - 1
Defensa

(Flamengo win 5-1 on aggregate)

Caio (9'), De Arrascaeta (66'), Vitinho (83', 90+4')
Barbosa (24'), Ribeiro (55'), Diego (57'), Arao (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Loaiza (41')
Frias (11'), Paredes (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 16.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
60.38%	22.73%	16.89%

Both teams to score 47.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.92%

51.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.07%

72.93%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73%

46.27%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.4%

43.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.2%

79.8%

Score Analysis

Flamengo 60.37%

Defensa y Justicia 16.89%

Draw 22.72%

Flamengo	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 12.96% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.42% 5-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.86% Total : 60.37%	1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 5.98% 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.48% 1-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.89%