Defensa
0 - 1
Flamengo

(Flamengo win 5-1 on aggregate)

Contreras (43'), Antonio Velasco Escalante (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Michael (21')
(25'), Henrique (37'), Piris (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Defensa y Justicia and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Flamengo
27.94%	24.18%	47.88%

Both teams to score 57.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96%

45.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61%

67.38%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36%

29.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32%

65.68%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08%

18.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58%

50.42%

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 27.94%

Flamengo 47.88%

Draw 24.18%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Flamengo
2-1 @ 6.9% 1-0 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.15% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.26% Total : 27.94%	1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 7.77% 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.26% Total : 47.88%