Defensa

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Flamengo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.