Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.

Result
Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
40.28% ( -0.5)	28.56% ( 0.02)	31.16% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 45.41% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.16% (

0.06)

60.84% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.13% (

0.04)

80.87% (

-0.04)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43% (

-0.26)

29.56% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4% (

-0.32)

65.59% (

0.32)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

0.39)

35.52% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

0.4)

72.28% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Newell's Old Boys 40.28%

Argentinos Juniors 31.16%

Draw 28.55%

Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.28%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.55%	0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.16%