Union
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Gonzalez (60' pen.)
Polenta (49'), Luna Diale (62'), Corvalan (69'), Carlos Portillo (73'), Mele (77'), Roldan (80'), Bucca (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (52'), Fernandez (77'), Giani (85'), Sforza (90+5')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.

Result
Union	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
51.32%	26.5%	22.18%

Both teams to score 44.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35%

58.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.81%

79.2%

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77%

23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.2%

56.8%

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.95%

42.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.52%

78.48%

Score Analysis

Union 51.31%

Newell's Old Boys 22.18%

Draw 26.5%

Union	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.31%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 9.67% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.18%