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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Atletico Tucuman

Newell's OB
4 - 0
Tucuman

Garro (2'), Castro (44'), Sordo (74'), Funez (81')
Perez (30'), Lema (37'), Fernandez (63'), Luciano (78'), Sforza (87'), Ditta (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bianchi (30'), Thaller (42'), Garay (58')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

Last Six:
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Newell's OB
Sunday, May 8 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Atletico Tucuman

Last Six:
Last Game: Banfield 1-1 Tucuman
Tuesday, May 10 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawAtletico Tucuman
49.47%26.69%23.84%
Both teams to score 45.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03%57.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33%78.66%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47%23.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42%57.58%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31%76.69%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 49.47%
    Atletico Tucuman 23.84%
    Draw 26.69%
Newell's Old BoysDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 13.63%
2-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 49.47%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 9.42%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.26%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2021 6.30pm
Newell's OB
1-2
Tucuman
Scocco (72')
Mussis (53'), Lotti (86')
Orihuela (69'), Cabral (73')
Mar 30, 2021 1.15am
Tucuman
2-2
Newell's OB
Lotti (55'), Ortiz (80')
Alejandro Bustos (31')
Negri (33'), Lema (86')
Fernandez (23'), Cacciabue (59'), Perez (77'), Sforza (83')
Dec 7, 2019 10.40pm
Tucuman
2-2
Newell's OB
Toledo (26', 50')
Toledo (26'), Bianchi (37'), Erbes (66')
Cabral (94')
Rodriguez (39' pen.), Leal (67')
Rodriguez (10'), Lema (91')
Salinas (94')
Sep 3, 2018 11pm
Newell's OB
1-2
Tucuman
Formica (27')
Fertoli (63')
Matos (43'), Diaz (85')
Bianchi (26'), Abero (80')
rhs 2.0
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