Sarmiento vs Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Union had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.